江苏省科技期刊可视化阅读平台

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江苏科技信息 ›› 2016, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (10): 39-40.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-7530.2016.10.005

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于旅行成本的高铁与民航竞争性研究

刘浩, 周杰松   

  1. 中国民航飞行学院机场工程与运输管理学院,四川广汉,618307
  • 出版日期:2016-04-05 发布日期:2016-04-05

Research on Competitiveness between High-speed Rail and Civil Aviation Based on Travel Costs

Liu Hao, Zhou Jiesong   

  • Online:2016-04-05 Published:2016-04-05

摘要： 文章改进Logit 模型的效用函数，引入旅行成本的基本思想，通过选取武广、京沪航线各航段计算市场分担率，找出临界运距。建立函数，就基于旅行成本的基准票价、航班频率、开行时间等参数的变化对于高铁与民航的竞争性所产生的影响进行分析。最后得出结论：降低基准票价和开行时间以及增加航班频率，都能够提高市场分担率。

关键词: Logit模型, 旅行成本, 临界运距

Abstract: The paper first improves the utility function of Logit model and introduces the basic idea of travel cost, and then we select the segments of Wuhan-Guangzhou and Beijing-Shanghai route to calculate the market share rate and try to identify the critical transport distance. After creating a function and analyzing the impact based on the changes of travel costs, the reference fare, flight frequency, and other parameters, we give the final conclusion that reducing the reference fare and run-time or increasing flight frequency are able to improve market share rate.